LYC 2.18% $7.63 lynas rare earths limited

The bondholders don't miss out on dividends their equity...

  1. 327 Posts.
    The bondholders don't miss out on dividends their equity allotment is recalculated to maintain 10% pro rata after allowance for any divs and equity issues that occur prior to conversion. Their 10% value remains and cannot be diluted, except perhaps for employee rights issues.

    The only downside for them is if they go to sleep for a month and miss a VWAP rise of more than 160% and fail to voluntarily convert. Probability 0.

    The holders hurt the most by this equity dilution in straight $ terms will be the biggest holders. That will be magnified if those holders also happen to be shorters.

    So if a large holder was shorting LYC in expectation of a cap raising and they effectively forced the SP down by half and they have a lot of outstanding shorts to cover and they weren't party to the cap raising and they even lost the debt facility they already had, I guess they'd be coughing Port down their ties over drinks tonight.

    Be careful what you wish for.

    I'd also expect a bit of pay back. I wonder how that might pan out.
 
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