criptonomicon, you state that the markets can go "up, down, or...

criptonomicon,

you state that the markets can go "up, down, or sideways"
and that it "wobbles 10 points before it makes up its mind"

from my experience, the market is a lot like my wife...
by the time you work out whats she's thinking, she's changed her mind! :-)

i guess what im trying to say is that the market can go "up down or sideways at any minute in time...you may get a clear signal that its now going to go up, only to find that it was a false signal!"

good luck.