XJO 0.74% 8,285.2 s&p/asx 200

After the party comes the headache. U.S. stocks down. Energy...

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    After the party comes the headache. U.S. stocks down. Energy down. Gold up.

    Dow Jones -0.18%. SP500 -0.65%. Nasdaq -1.16%. Small Caps -0.1%. Banks +0.14%.


    While SP500 and Nasdaq pulled back last night from all time highs, Dow Jones is still struggling to get above its 20-Day Moving Average. Somethings not right in the U.S. markets. We need to see the Dow Jones doing better to confirm the new all time highs.


    SP500.

    SP500 shows a bearish engulfing candle. That suggests more downside.


    But – never fear – buy-the-dippers are waiting on the side-line.


    Of more interest to me is the RSI14. It hasn’t dipped below its mid-line (50) since early November when this rally began.

    When we see the RSI14 fall below 50 again, we might be able to call the end of this rally.


    https://hotcopper.com.au/data/attachments/6021/6021198-615224e61a8f4a91824ea2acb87f414d.jpg
    Commodities.

    Commodities Index -0.31%. Energy -1.1%. Base Metals -0.45%. Agriculture -0.09%. Gold +0.85%,

    Nothing in the above suggests joy for the Oz market on Monday. Friday nigh futures down -0.6% after XJO up on Friday +1.07%. That was on great results in the big 4 banks. CBA +1.84%. ANZ +1.74%. NAB +2.3%. WBC +2.59%.


    Below is the chart for MVB, ETF for Australian banks.


    On Friday, MVW was up +2.03%. That’s the biggest single day rise since 2 November when this rally started. MVW gapped up on 2 November, and rose >3%.


    Big bang to start the rally, big bang to end the rally? We’ll have to wait and see on that one.


    Good luck.

 
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