COE 2.22% 22.0¢ cooper energy limited

inp - valuation given flax+yarrow reserves

  1. 2,834 Posts.
    OK, so now we have some hard numbers to chew over.

    Flax has 35 bcf liquids-rich gas and 5.2 mmbl of recoverable oil reserves.

    Yarrow has 53 bcf of gas.

    INP has 35% of each ... lets assume that liquids rich Flax gas is worth $3/thousand cf, and Yarrow gas is worth $1.50. Oil is worth the conventional $15/bbl in the ground.

    Thus, Flax gas is worth $70m total, for $24m for INP.
    Flax oil is worth $78m, for $26m for INP.
    Yarrow has is worth $75m total, for $25m for INP,

    Thus, INP has $75m of hydrocarbons.
    Take out 12.5% for the Directors Cut, or $10m.
    Therefore we have $65m.

    Take out $10m for the extra Yarrow wells (the flow rate sucks, remember), pipelines and other miscellaneous infrastructure.

    Therefore, we have $55m.

    We have 25m options that will get excercised at 20 cents, so thats another $5m in the kitty for $60m.

    We have 70m total shares fully diluted, so thats call it 90 cents backing for a share trading at $1.10, with exploration acreage to be added in.

    Can anyone spot where my numbers are wrong ?

    Ian Whitchurch
 
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