Like I said previously, MEL has controversy. Whether you are a true believer or not, where there is controversy, upside potential will be capped until everything is cleared up.
I know some people will say I am downramping, but I say I am looking and keeping an eye on all the bad information, the good aspects looks after itself. If all you do is concentrate on the good and hopeful forecasts, it is the bad information, problems that will come and get you.
http://au.finance.yahoo.com/news/extremely-high-methane-levels-found-113515390.html
interesting read
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