investor presentation should boost sp, page-11

Seeking oil, gas, CSM in onshore NZ
Tuesday, 27 May 2008


L&M Petroleum’s 2008 exploration program – covering conventional petroleum and coal seam methane – has the potential to add more than $A14 to the company’s share price, company chief executive John Bay told the Excellence in Upstream Oil & Gas Conference in Sydney on Monday afternoon.



L&M Petroleum CEO John Bay

Bay said the ASX and NZX-listed junior was making good progress exploring for conventional petroleum in its six permits that covered two South Island geological basins, despite none of its wells so far striking commercial quantities of hydrocarbons.

But L&M’s initial foray into CSM was also very exciting, he said.

Last week L&M announced its initial review of the CSM potential of its onshore Western Southland Basin permits had identified three CSM fairways with the potential to hold up to 300 billion cubic feet of gas.

It said that Eocene-aged Beaumont coals present in the Takitimu North, Takitimu South and Longwood fairways extended for about 85km through the three licences.

L&M has high hopes for the possible $NZ2 million ($A1.62 million) CSM program it plans to start next month, according to Bay.

This will involve drilling three CSM wells in PEP 38226, acquiring 15km of new 2D seismic in each of the permits to confirm additional CSM targets, and drilling up to five additional CSM wells, depending on the outcome of the seismic shoot.

L&M and its respective partners hold stakes in four Western Southland Basin licences – PEP 38226 (Waiau), PEP 38230 (Te Anau), the onshore-offshore PEP 38237 (Waitutu) and PEP 38238 (Blackmount) – and two Western Basin licences, PEP 38521 (West Coast) and the just awarded PEP 50558 (Hohonu).

Bay said L&M had completed various geological and geophysical studies and shot seismic over several Western Southland permits. It was also looking to farm-out some of its interests in several licences, with the aim of further drilling early next year.

These included farm-outs of the Whitestone Prospect in PEP 38230 (Te Anau), farm-out of the Otahu Prospect in PEP 38226 (Waiau), and farm-outs of the Pounamu Prospect in PEP 38521 (West Coast).

L&M said its mean estimate of gas in place at Otahu was about 297 billion cubic feet, while Whitestone had a mean estimate of 156 million barrels of oil in place.

On the West Coast, in licence PEP 38521 where L&M drilled the Fireball Creek-1 well earlier this year, other targets included the Pounamu prospect, with a mean estimate of 43MMbbl of oil in place.

In the most southern licence, PEP 38237, L&M had shot 1015km of offshore 2D seismic, which had identified several significant leads, including Waitutu, East Waitutu, Solander and Solander South. No onshore seismic had been acquired but several surface anticlines had been mapped, Bay said.

But he also said it was unlikely an offshore well would be drilled before 2010 when other Great South Basin permit operators ExxonMobil, Austrian giant OMV, and New Zealand private companies Greymouth Petroleum and Green Gate might be coordinating efforts to bring a semi-submersible rig to the southern South Island.

L&M’s total planned 2008 exploration program – assuming a 25% recovery factor for oil and a 75% recovery factor for gas – plus any farm-outs could potentially increase the company’s share price by more than $A14, Bay concluded.

The market capitalisation of Wellington-headquartered L&M is now about $A31.5 million and it has about $A10.4 million cash in hand.

It debuted on the ASX and NZX in January 2007 at levels of about A20c and NZ22c respectively and – following a series of non-commercial wells in onshore Southland last year and one on the West Coast earlier this year – its share price had languished at about half the initial public offering levels.

However, its shares spiked on news of the CSM program, closing on the ASX at A18c, up from A10c, and at NZ24c, up from NZ12c, on the NZX.