Totally agree with Charlie view point. If we look at USD 100 Iron ore price, FMG would receive around USD $88. Currently FMG all in costs including debt are $73 USD. So margin of $15/MT USD or $20/MT AUD at 80 cents.
If producing 127M MT that is profit of 1.9B or eps of 68 cents per share. On 5x - 7x earnings that is $3.5 - $4.8.
That is $100 62% CFR China, what happens at $80?
At 90 62% FMG sells for $78 USD, margin is $5, eps $0.2 USD, AUD 0.8 $0.25
5x $1.25 7x $1.75 - $2.
However FMG have cash and assets so $2 could be worst case.
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Totally agree with Charlie view point. If we look at USD 100...
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$21.67 |
Change
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Mkt cap ! $66.72B |
Open | High | Low | Value | Volume |
$21.58 | $21.67 | $21.22 | $133.3M | 6.196M |
Buyers (Bids)
No. | Vol. | Price($) |
---|---|---|
2 | 80000 | $21.65 |
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Price($) | Vol. | No. |
---|---|---|
$21.67 | 44058 | 5 |
View Market Depth
No. | Vol. | Price($) |
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2 | 80000 | 21.650 |
1 | 500 | 21.600 |
2 | 10000 | 21.590 |
1 | 1 | 21.580 |
2 | 275 | 21.570 |
Price($) | Vol. | No. |
---|---|---|
21.670 | 13033 | 1 |
21.690 | 13033 | 1 |
21.700 | 1017 | 2 |
21.710 | 61673 | 7 |
21.720 | 23421 | 5 |
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