29M 2.35% 43.5¢ 29metals limited

IPO - 29Metals Limited - 23 June 2021 #, page-12

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    Reminder: Golden Grove was bought by EMR Capital during 2017 for cash of US$210 million from MMG Limited; and Capricorn Copper (formerly Mt Gordon and Gunpowder mines) was bought by EMR Capital during 2015 for cash of $55 million.

    On top of that, EMR Capital said it has spent at least $400 million on CAPEX across these two assets (GG > $230 million; CC > $160 million).

    By listing on the ASX, it gives Owen Hegarty the ability to use 29Metals' scrip in an acquisition of a company with a copper project.

    Currently, there are only 6 undeveloped copper projects in Australia with significant JORC Ore Reserves, that also have a Pre-Feasibility Study or Feasibility Study. Four of the 6 are owned by Australian junior exploration companies: HAV, RXM, VXR and KGL. See post# 51209846

    That is a razor thin Australian copper development pipeline.

    Of those 4 Australian junior exploration companies, HAV's Kalkaroo copper-gold project could be appealing for 29Metals going forward given it has the largest copper ore reserves of these 4. This could make it appealing to 29Metals as a result of the following:


    Ore Reserve copper equivalent ('CuEq') comparison Kalkaroo and 29Metals
    29Metals' Prospectus stated 901,000 CuEq tonnes (as at 30 June 2020) includes both the Golden Grove and Capricorn Copper mine Ore Reserves.

    In my opinion, this compares very favourably to the Kalkaroo copper-gold project Ore Reserves containing 890,890 CuEq tonnes (using the CuEq grade of 0.89% from the 2020 Annual Report), albeit different copper and gold prices used by 29Metals.


    Ore Reserve copper tonnes comparison Kalkaroo and 29Metals
    Based on my updated Australian Copper Deposits list (based only on copper Ore Reserves in Australia), Kalkaroo copper-gold project sits at #11 (474,000 tonnes of copper) with Golden Grove at #15 (241,000 tonnes of copper) and Capricorn Copper at #16 (240,000 tonnes of copper).

    FYI: Oz Mineral's Prominent Hill comes in at #10 (480,000 tonnes of copper as at 30 June 2020); Sandfire's DeGrussa comes in at #20 (72,000 tonnes of copper as at 31 December 2020).

    Kalkaroo's copper Ore Reserve compares very favourably to the 29Metals' copper Ore Reserves (Golden Grove as at 30 June 2020; Capricorn Copper as at 1 December 2020).

    Column 1 Column 2 Column 3
    1 Copper tonnes Havilah 29Metals
    2 Kalkaroo 474,000  
    3 Golden Grove   241,000
    4 Capricorn Copper   240,000
    5 Total 474,000 481,000

    Golden Grove and Capricorn copper ore reserves combined total 18% in the 'proved' ore category. Whereas Kalkaroo has 90% in the 'proved' category.

    In my opinion, Havilah still has more upside. With sufficient infill drilling of the deeper copper sulphide JORC Inferred Mineral Resource component (of 110 million tonnes) at Kalkaroo, and subject to available funds and drilling rigs, Havilah could convert the 110 million tonnes into Measured or Indicated Mineral Resources to be incorporated into the mining model as additional JORC Ore Reserves (of up to 474,300 tonnes of copper and 1.1. million ounces of gold). See post# 54070970


    Sustainability
    Unlike 29Metals 'legacy' copper mines that must retrofit their practices to make them cleaner and/or more efficient to get to a zero-carbon footprint, the Kalkaroo copper-gold project has the chance to be 'green' by design, using environmentally friendly technologies and carbon-reducing practices, from day one as part of its development.

    Cheers

    These are only my thoughts and it does not constitute investment advice. Before acting on any information you read and before making any financial or investment decisions, you should always consult your advisor(s) or other relevant professional experts.
 
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