FMG 0.18% $21.90 fortescue ltd

Iron ore price, page-297

  1. 3,123 Posts.
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    Next Thursday, 13th of April is the FMG's March Q Report.

    IO Average for the March Q was US$84.82 / dmt.

    Scenario 1: Realised price is 87.5% of Platts 62% CFR

    At 170MT PA rate, total shipped in the Q is 42MT

    Revenue: 84.82 x 0.875 x 0.92 (moisture) x 42MT = US$2868M

    - C1: US$12.5 / wmt
    - Shipping Cost: US$5.2 / wmt
    - Royalty: US$4.95 / wmt
    - Admin: US$0.32 / wmt

    Total Delivery Cost: 12.5 + 5.2 + 4.95 + 0.32 =US$23 x 42MT = US$966M

    Other cost: US$120M (Interest), US$20M (Exploration),  US$80M (Capex)

    Otherec Q we had working capital increased by US$385M, if half is reversed in March Q, +$190M

    So money in the bank at the end of March:

    US$1160M +2868 - 966 -120 -20 -80 +190 - 1000 (Debt Repayment) = US$2B.

    Scenario 2: 85%, -US$75M
    Scenario 3: 90%, +US$75M


    Regardless we should see big numbers next Thursday.

    DYOR.

    Frank.
 
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