Which one in particular is meaningless? I didn't work out the probabilities , true. Somebody else did, or a computer with the right algorithm and continuous input of live trading data did. The numbers are available for every option I know or trade. They are available on continues basis as daily trading is progressing, it is a completely dynamic process. The probabilities one can get using implied volatility and the time to expiry, this is a standard method until smart people realized that delta approach is as good and quicker and there is of course mathematical/statistical explanation for this. I don't understand your objections to the numbers I posted.
Check the theory on some good option site, many of them are available.
Iron ore price, page-3338
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Last
$20.90 |
Change
0.800(3.98%) |
Mkt cap ! $64.31B | |||
| Open | High | Low | Value | Volume |
| $21.26 | $21.59 | $20.60 | $203.0M | 9.679M |
Buyers (Bids)
| No. | Vol. | Price($) |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | 897 | $20.89 |
Sellers (Offers)
| Price($) | Vol. | No. |
|---|---|---|
| $20.90 | 1256 | 11 |
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| Last trade - 13.48pm 30/09/2024 (20 minute delay) ? |
| FMG (ASX) Chart |