I'm surprised your numbers are roughly correct
But does it really matter how much it costs if the customers are willing to pay??
$200 Billion roughly in startup costs
15 Billion kilograms per year.
If we sell for $3.5/kg in the first 4 years, thats $200 Billion in revenue in 4 years.. the whole PVs/ turbine/electrolysers will be paid off in 4 year!
$2.5/kg should be paid off in <7 years...
( i expect received prices to drop below $3.5 soon)
So if we have it paid off in 7 years, after that the PVs & electolysers should be bringing in $Billions of profits for the rest of their usable life...25+ years....
Basically its hugely expensive, and we will need green investors..... but if it executed efficiently it should be very profitable.
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