FMG 0.79% $19.98 fortescue ltd

There has been some good information released here so I have...

  1. 908 Posts.
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    There has been some good information released here so I have decided to update my FMG FY2018 Forecast. Here it is:

    Column 1 Column 2 Column 3
    0   Units 2018
    1 A. ASSUMPTIONS:[/B]    
    2 IO Shipments   wmts   170
    3 Moisture content   %   8.50
    4 IO Shipments dmts 156
    5 Average Platts 62% Fe CFR   US$/dmt 63.35
    6 Product discount   %   71.00
    7 FMG Average realized IO price   US$/dmt   44.98
    8 C1   US$/wmt FOB   12.00
    9 Shipping Cpst US$/wmt 7.00
    10 Royalty   %   7.50
    11 B. THE RESULT:    
    12 IO Revenue US$m 6997
    13 Other Revenue US$m 112
    14 Total Revenue US$m 7109
    15 C1 FOB US$m 2040
    16 Shipping US$m 1190
    17 Royalty US$m 525
    18 Administration US$m 56
    19 Exploration   US$m   50
    20 Total Operating Cost US$m 3861
    21 EBITDA[/B] US$m 3248
    22 Depreciation US$m 1258
    23 EBIT US$m 1990
    24 Interest US$m 342
    25 PBT US$m 1648
    26 Tax - 30% US$m 495
    27 PAT US$m 1153
    28 EPS US$ 0.37
    29 FCF US$m 2062
    30 Capital US$m (908)
    31 Dividends - 65% PAT US$m (750)
    32 Net Cash Flow US$m 404
    33 OCB US$m 1838
    34 CCB US$m 2242
    35 Debt US$m (4471)
    36 Net Cash/(Debt) US$m (2229)

    The Average Platts 62% Fe CFR price = Average of monthly futures prices to 30/6/17
    There you have it. All my secrets revealed. Please feel free to tear it to bits as I hope you would do because before any investment DYOR
 
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