Pretty much the entire rally from $14 to $23 was a PE re-rate, it was not driven by an increase in earnings expectations as the average price assumed by analysts has not changed (materially). As of yesterdays, FMG's blended forward 2 year PE was 14 which is one of the highest multiples FMG has traded at over the last 7 years... and now we have IO prices plunging again.
A forward PE at this elevated level just has no respect for the uncertainties FMG faces, its priced as if it is assumed that 100+ IO prices will remain and cost pressures will remain under control and FFI just works itself out.
To get back to a more normal 2 year blended forward PE of about 11, without an increase to earnings, would require a share price fall of about 20% from recent highs. That is why I believe FMG is overpriced here.
- Forums
- ASX - By Stock
- FMG
- Iron ore price
Iron ore price, page-43469
-
- There are more pages in this discussion • 9,303 more messages in this thread...
You’re viewing a single post only. To view the entire thread just sign in or Join Now (FREE)
Featured News
Add FMG (ASX) to my watchlist
|
|||||
Last
$21.59 |
Change
-0.040(0.18%) |
Mkt cap ! $66.25B |
Open | High | Low | Value | Volume |
$21.64 | $21.79 | $21.40 | $61.09M | 2.774M |
Buyers (Bids)
No. | Vol. | Price($) |
---|---|---|
29 | 4418 | $21.59 |
Sellers (Offers)
Price($) | Vol. | No. |
---|---|---|
$21.60 | 4066 | 23 |
View Market Depth
No. | Vol. | Price($) |
---|---|---|
14 | 3180 | 21.590 |
17 | 5712 | 21.580 |
9 | 1425 | 21.570 |
14 | 2093 | 21.560 |
15 | 4769 | 21.550 |
Price($) | Vol. | No. |
---|---|---|
21.600 | 4631 | 17 |
21.610 | 1639 | 11 |
21.620 | 5201 | 16 |
21.630 | 2461 | 16 |
21.640 | 2341 | 9 |
Last trade - 13.43pm 27/06/2024 (20 minute delay) ? |
Featured News
FMG (ASX) Chart |