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Of the 52.6 Mt of iron ore produced by SA in 2023, around 30 Mt...

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    Of the 52.6 Mt of iron ore produced by SA in 2023, around 30 Mt is exported o China. Of that, around 28.2 Mt travels along the Sishen to Saldanha Bay route before being shipped out in Capesize vessels for the voyage to the world's largest consumer..

    The global balance of supply and demand for IO is actually quite tight, and this amount is significant. Yet this particular supply line is far from secure. Transnet is trying a new model to reserect its decaying infrastructure, (including the Sishen/ Saldanha line), but the model is untested and the stakes are high.

    The dysfunctional rail system is throwing South Africa’s economy deeper into the doldrums. Stellenbosch University’s Dr Zane Simpson estimated that Transnet’s inability to rail sufficient volumes of commodities (mainly coal and iron ore) to ports cost the economy R411-billion in 2022 and about R353-billion in 2023. This translates to about R1-billion (US$53 Mill) a day in lost economic output.

    The logistics industry believes that Transnet has neglected the maintenance of its rail network over the past decade, and has estimated the maintenance backlog at R200-billion. (US $10 billion).

    Transnet is important for South Africa’s economy because it is responsible for ferrying most of the iron ore and coal that the country produces and exports around the world. Transnet also has a major role in carrying freight and fuel around the country and helping importers land their goods at ports. When Transnet isn’t operating properly, many businesses and South Africa’s exports come to a standstill.

    https://www.dailymaverick.co.za/article/2024-01-02-transnets-critical-operation-and-financial-situation-extends-from-bad-to-worse/

    Transnet reveals details of plan to rope in private sector to fix its rail network

    Transnet plans to get trains operated by private sector players in the second half of the year, said the company’s new group CEO, Michelle Phillips.
    24 Mar 202416

    The SOE details how it plans to embrace the private sector as a partner for delivery and fixing its rail network, but private sector players are concerned about high tariffs.




    0:00 / 6:37
    BeyondWords

    Transnet has started the process of partnering with private sector companies that are set to use the state-owned transport group’s vast rail network across South Africa to operate trains independently over the next three to five years.


    If all goes according to plan, Transnet is set to open up its rail network to the private sector as early as April 2024 – a process that will unleash billions of rands from companies in upgrading the country’s transport infrastructure.

    Transnet has released a draft network statement, which details how the state-owned entity (SOE) plans to embrace the private sector as a partner for delivery in its rail network that spans 21,200km across the country. The statement will be gazetted in a few days for public consultation and comments before being finalised at the start of Transnet’s next financial year, which begins on 1 April. Transnet plans to get trains operated by private sector players in the second half of the year, said the company’s new group CEO,Michelle Phillips.

    Transnet’s partnership with private sector players was first mooted more than 10 years ago, but was revived in recent years by President Cyril Ramaphosa as part of a range of reforms to grow the economy. The difference now is that reforms at Transnet are urgent and the SOE needs the private sector, considering that it has a smothering debt load of R130-billion, which doesn’t give it room to fix and upgrade its rail network on its own.

    Read more in Daily Maverick:Transnet unveils 100 private sector leasing opportunities at its ports

    The logistics industry believes that Transnet has neglected the maintenance of its rail network over the past decade, and has estimated the maintenance backlog at R200-billion. By partnering with Transnet, private sector players will have to carry this cost, while also putting security measures in place to curb incidents of vandalism and theft of cables – which the SOE’s draft network statement revealed reached crisis levels last year – on its rail network.


    The dysfunctional rail system is throwing South Africa’s economy deeper into the doldrums. Stellenbosch University’s Dr Zane Simpson estimated that Transnet’s inability to rail sufficient volumes of commodities (mainly coal and iron ore) to ports cost the economy R411-billion in 2022 and about R353-billion in 2023. This translates to about R1-billion a day in lost economic output.


    Source: Transnet Freight Rail 2023

    Transnet is operating at a quarter of capacity because of theft and vandalism

    How opening up rail will work

    Transnet’s draft network statement takes forward the process of liberalising rail in South Africa, which has long been controlled by Transnet. The SOE sets the terms and conditions for how its customers and industry use and pay for its infrastructure to rail their goods to markets.

    To liberalise rail, Transnet plans tosell rail slots on its network to third parties or private sector players, allowing them to introduce their electric locomotives, independently rail their goods to markets, and move traffic off-road and on to rail. This process will be managed by a newly established infrastructure manager office that has set general rules, deadlines, procedures and contractual arrangements for private sector players accessing Transnet’s rail infrastructure.

    Read more in Daily Maverick:Transnet’s critical operation and financial situation extends from bad to worse

    Some industry players see the publication of Transnet’s draft network statement as a positive move. James Holley, CEO of Traxtion, Africa’s largest private rail operator, described it as a “watershed moment and [the] government must be praised for taking another step in the right direction for rail reform in South Africa”.


    “While we celebrate this progressive move, we are examining the draft statement to ensure that the conditions align with the implementation of rail reform as laid out in the National Rail Policy, adopted by Cabinet in 2022, the Freight Logistics Roadmap and the Private Sector Participation Framework, adopted by Cabinet in 2023,” said Holley.

    Traxtion emerged as a successful bidder in November 2022 during Transnet’s initial process to auction rail slots in the Cape Corridor. However, Transnetcancelled the contract awarded to Traxtion, saying negotiations with the company to work out the mechanisms for its participation in the railway lines proved challenging.

    The private sector largely snubbed Transnet’s initial process to auction rail slots, for several reasons.

    First, Transnet required that private sector players work with a two-year period for capital investments, which involves deploying electric locomotives on the rail routes. Such an initiative requires a capital investment period of at least five to 10 years, considering that locomotives cost about $4-million to acquire and take about 24 months to bring into South Africa.


    Second, Transnet set a two-year lease or contract period for using the rail slots. Private sector players wanted more than two years, considering that they would be making large investments and buying equipment that could last for at least 30 years.

    Transnet has now corrected this by offering rail slots for between three and five years.Daily Maverickunderstands that Traxtion is keen to participate in Transnet’s new auction process.

    Concerns about high charges

    A point of contention among private sector players is the tariffs they will pay to Transnet and the infrastructure manager once they are allowed to run trains. Some players believe that the tariffs cited in Transnet’s draft network statement are too high.

    In the long term, some private sector players believe that the government should consider cutting its operational railways in half – from 21,200km to between 10,000km and 12,000km. Holley said the reduction will allow Transnet to focus on fixing a much smaller rail network and “doing more with less”.

    The Freight Logistics Roadmap supports Holley’s view, as it talks about right-sizing and closing “low-density” iron ore and coal railway lines. DM


    Last edited by jhunt: 29/03/24
 
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