Lets look at the Reality Gaps(RG) relative to close $0.68 2/3/10
Broker Low RG = $1.17 - $0.68 = $0.49
Broker High RG = $1.50 - $0.68 = $0.82
STO Buy-In RG = $1.00 - $0.68 = $0.32
STO 2P Cost Benchmark = (988E6 GJ x $2.79/GJ)/865,224,422 = $3.19 RG = $3.19 -$0.68 = $2.51
so we have RGs from $2.51 to only $0.32
now the speculator in all of us looks at the $2.51 RG and wonders if that will be closed ?
what confidence do you place on the above valuations
Broker 1 and Broker 2 ? - any involvement in ESG capital raisings ?
STO's intent - seems to be to simply hold the ESG animal tied to the tree to do with as they please. To achieve that they were prepared to pay more - so the $0.32 RG they paid is justified by that optionality they now have
The other 2P RG is invalid as the denominator is in reality the Resources they have harnessed not 2P - so the $2.79 is a factor lower
ESG Price at posting:
69.0¢ Sentiment: None Disclosure: Held