IMO most others aren't looking in the PM direction. So my thinking from your comment below>> "Sometimes it's prudent to expect the unexpected or put another way, be looking the opposite direction to most others so you don't get blindsided." is that you may be looking in the wrong direction too early.
This is a good interview with a man that has been around the block once or twice, I hope you enjoy it. http://kingworldnews.com/kingworldnews/Broadcast/Entries/2011/10/2_Martin_Armstrong.html
