I would love to believe you sojourner... truly, I would. But the statistics going back to even the 60s don't lie. The vast majority of active managers fall with the market, just as the index falls. I am in no way saying active managers are all the same, but the odds are well and truly stacked against the investor when choosing an active manager. I say that from a statistical point of view. From a personal point of view you won't find someone who dislikes passive investment more than me... it's insidious, dangerous and will only lead to one outcome. The problem lies in the fact every active manager, investor, trader is in fact a slave to passive investment. The whole basis of passive investment, and it's resounding success, comes down to active investors maintaining market fundamentals. Active managers will continue to do all the hard work... and passive investment vehicles will continue to reap the rewards. There will definitely be a day of reckoning...
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