FBR 1.96% 2.5¢ fbr ltd

Is it worth selling shares now?

  1. 512 Posts.
    lightbulb Created with Sketch. 376
    Hey,

    I sat with myself a lot and thought about what would be the right price to sell,
    I tried to think about the next steps, what they would look like, and what the meanings are,

    I have come to a conclusion, and I am happy to share it with you.

    I assume that nothing is 100% certain.
    I don't need 100% sure things,It's enough for me that things happen with the highest probability.

    Will FBR meet the conditions in the US demonstration?
    Probability - yes.

    I assume that CRH is already at the demonstration stage in the US will bring large contractors to see the product, and check if it suits them.
    CRH work with the biggest contractors, they have no problem inviting them to see.
    I assume that the contractors will enjoy the product and will want to make agreements with the WAAS to receive the service.
    It turns out that a large contractor will want to order the service, and will want it for a large amount of work,

    Therefore, I assume that immediately after the demonstration in the USA, at least 300 machines will be ordered,
    Such an amount will bring LIEBHERR to create the readiness,

    I'm giving a year, to be conservative, until the demonstration in the US is over.
    I start from the assumption that in a year we will already have orders for 300 machines,

    In this year, meanwhile, so many good things can progress,
    Progress with 3D printing companies,
    Advances in machine performance,
    Additional contracts for the establishment of branches around the world,

    What does this mean for the price and value of the company in another year?
    A company that has a contract to build 300 machines,
    which should bring in at least 200 million dollars (USD) per year for them,
    which are only at the beginning of the S model of a growth company,
    will be worth a market value of at least a multiple of 40,
    Which would bring them to a value of 8 billion dollars (USD),

    will it happen?
    you never know
    It could be a lot better by then, and it could be worse,

    I'm just trying to outline how in a realistic scheme their value in a year could be so much better,
    so it would be so stupid not to wait it out,

    I don't know how much the stock will go up tomorrow or in two days, and how much it will go up in the coming week, but there is no way it will reach its realistic value of what it will be worth in another year,

    That's why I decided not to consider selling,
    just take a step back and enjoy the journey of the coming year,

    Good luck to everyone,

    By the way,
    even if the stock goes up 500% tomorrow, it will probably be more attractive than it was a week ago,
    Because the chance-risk ratio is now more attractive than it was a week ago,
    The chance of bankruptcy due to lack of cash - decreased to almost zero,
    The chance of infinite dilutions - reduced to almost zero,
    The possibility of reaching global assimilation, and successful disruption, increased by hundreds of percent,
    The chance of super fast growth - increased by hundreds of percent,

    In its condition today, even at a market value of 600M$ , it is much more attractive,

    Success for all of us,
    The world will be better in a few years with this disruptive machine,
 
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