Conventional wisdom is Labor will easily win the next election over a shellshocked opposition, but I'm not so sure.
What if...
- Oil prices continue to rise, driving up the cost of fuel and goods (through increased delivery costs).
- Inflation in China continues to gather pace, flowing into prices for everything they export to us.
- The reserve bank reacts by lifting interest rates to tackle inflation.
- Fuel and import prices continue to rise regardless; rents go up because landlords pass on the interest rate rises, driving inflation further.
- Rudd and co honestly tell "working families" there's nothing they can do about the oil price, or global conditions, or rising interest rates.
- The Liberals promise to do something irresponsible (like cutting the fuel excise) and remind people about the good old days when everything was smooth sailing - before a less experienced lot got in.
- Kevin 11 in deep trouble.
Any thoughts?
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Conventional wisdom is Labor will easily win the next election...
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