What she is saying is that pre drill they estimated that the Albian part of the SNE prospect might contain about 150m barrels of oil with a 20% chance of success (ie risked estimate 150 x risk about 0.22 = 34m barrels). In fact it contained 330m barrels, but at the expense of the Aptian part for which the pre drill estimates were higher but contained nothing as it was all in the Albian.
I don't see why this number should change much. Fan1 another story.
pj
Is SNE-1 a monster?, page-2
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