I am still focused more on emerging market stress. Especially since Brazil is about to join the club of Emerging market countries under severe stress. Coming in a close second is the EU. There are several countries that are under severe stress but two could cause problems.
Italy
https://www.investopedia.com/news/all-about-italian-economic-crisis-2018/
https://www.express.co.uk/news/worl...crisis-greece-economy-austerity-national-debt
Turkey ties but not a full member of EU
http://www.brandeis.edu/now/2018/september/habibi-turkey-economy.html
https://www.economist.com/finance-a...iding-lira-and-economy-mean-for-turkeys-banks
There are others you can look at as well start with France and Greece. Brittan will exit soon. There is much controversy over how to cover the dues Brittan will no longer be contributing to EU.
I have no idea what will be considered the trigger after this happens, or when it will happen. I just know that over the last year lots of the know triggers have gotten worse, non-have gotten better. New ones have been added. Maybe it will be US with Donald T in the lead?
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