Current view:
Phil,
If you think that gold can drop to $300 (historical lows)and stay there - or even go much under $580 then - to quote The Castle - you're dreamin'!
Things positively affecting the POG long term:- US$ stuff long term
- Global economic uncertainty usually lead to gold as a safe harbour
- Developing countries such as India have a great penchant for gold that follows in the wake of their larger affluence
- Cost of mining and processing gold has gone up, meaning that marginal projects will not get funding to start 2008-2009, leading to supply not keeping up with demand if the price drops further
I can't see anything else to do than be contrary to the market if it is acting irrationally. I may lose money short term, but sanity has to prevail at some point.
Cheers
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