There has been a disconnect for some time between the stock market's optimism and the economists' more guarded if not negative outlook. Plus the concurrence of the American election would of course cloud the issue.
I know which way I'm expecting things to turn, but I guess I've already indicated that a few times.
An article in Business Insider takes a closer look at the issue.
https://www.*.com/stock-market-crash-labor-market-recession-unemployment-rate-sp500-wolfenbarger-2024-9
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