your posts seem to make a lot of sense but I have noticed that your prediction of success keeps creeping higher. From memory a few months ago it was 30 - 50% then above 50% and lately up to 70%. Is there any way we can find data on this?
if it is true that we are a week away from finding out that there is a 70% chance of receiving USD1b pa then the SP is going above 30c based on one product let alone the others cause my guess is we are currently only valuing at about 10% maybe 15%
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