https://x.com/Pataramesh/status/1934095463101223344
Patarames @Pataramesh
Time to explain some realities:
- Israeli missile interceptors stocks & sensor performance will degrade over time
- Iranian missile bases & launchers safety protocols will get more loose once the in-situ sabotage assets like OWA- & FPV-drones/ATGMs are found or depleted
https://x.com/Pataramesh/status/1934095466150424865
Since Israel hit civilian targets at the start of the attack, Iran will use heavy missiles like Emad to hit targets, even in urban regions.
Once Arrow-3 and THAAD are exhausted by trying to catch hypersonics like Kheybar-Shekan-2/Fattah-1 via multiple launches against single missiles
➡️ The gates are open for heavy Emad hits
https://x.com/Pataramesh/status/1934095469711421750
And up until here, there is no talk about higher end even heavier warhead missiles like the Khorramshahr family
In comparison, Israel relies primarily on OWA-type drones to hit soft targets.
The psychological effects of seeing a burning oil depot are very different to experiencing a blast of a 1-ton warhead at mach 6
https://x.com/Pataramesh/status/1934095472978776349
It was a quite irrational, even desperate move by Netanyahu to attack civilian targets and enable Iran to reciprocate
Getting the U.S. involved sounds hence like a good explanation for such a irrational move
➡️ Iran's missile salvos can't be stopped anytime soon by the IDF
Posted by: michaelj72 | Jun 15 2025 14:50 utc
