Have you built in any risk factor to your logic?
Using previous history is possibly one way...
Have you calculated how many businesses these people have either acquired, been part of, associated with, had their interest in, that have ended up making any revenue of note?
How many of the previous companies have ended up delisted, in administration, or acquired to take over from the listed disaster at the time?
How many have been acquired and at a now known exorbitant price where the revenue never eventuates post acquisition?
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