..it is no coincidence that the coal price is going backwards as...

  1. 22,102 Posts.
    lightbulb Created with Sketch. 2042
    ..it is no coincidence that the coal price is going backwards as did lithium - it has to do with a struggling Chinese economy and the spectre of recession happening across the globe (UK, Japan).

    5 year view
    Coal - Price - Chart - Historical Data - News (tradingeconomics.com)

    This past week, coal stocks are going backwards while materials/resource stocks got a bid.

    Peabody Energy (BTU) -5.38% the past week
    AMR +1.34% the past week but down -3.27% yesterday
    Arch Resources (ARCH) -2.9% the past week
    Warrior Met Coal ( HCC) -2.34% the past week , -7.42% the past month
    Consol Energy (CEIX) - 5.43% the past week, -16.31% the past month

    and at home

    Whitehaven Coal (WHC) -4.93% the past week (on lower dividends) -11.76% the past month
    New Hope (NHC) -2.88% the past week -4.53% the past month
    Yancoal (YAL) -3.79% the past week +4.3% the past month
    Stanmore Coal (SMR) -1.11% the past week -10.97% the past month

    and looking at the price chart, there's nothing stopping coal price declining a further 35-40% to levels last seen in 2020-21 should we see a broadening out of recessions across the world that would stymie industrial activity.

    If you look at the All time view in the WHC chart, you see that we have had periods of peak and troughs in waves, and in each wave, it experienced a Xmas tree Nordique retracement back to where the rally began, now fast forward to 2024, it is looking every bit like breaking down in similar fashion, once it takes out $7 and showing no signs of recovery.
 
arrow-down-2 Created with Sketch. arrow-down-2 Created with Sketch.