I greatly appreciate it and I tend to predict events too early.

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BentleyBoy

367 Posts.

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12/03/24

13:06

Post #: 72851994
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Originally posted by 1ronnie: ↑

In this thread, which is now into its 7th year, I share with you insights from across a variety of sources on macro, sectors including my own analyses and POV (point of views) and timing and stock/market observations and important risk events as well as political views and some value added contribution to help people save money. Obviously, they are my views, as I said many times I may certainly come across as being a bear or bearish (I love bears (the animal) though) but I am not a perma-bear, my philosophy is that we can choose the time to be involved in equities and time to be sidelined and I never short nor ever believe in shorting.

My contribution if I can call it that, is to caution people to stay tuned to the prevailing risks and to exercise appropriate risk management, and yes my cautionary note or warnings can be rather scathing and direct and I understand not all would like to hear or read them. They are not necessarily right all the time, nor timing wise but tend to be ahead before the risks unfold. Two strong messages I constantly feature on this thread is (1) Buy and Hold is not the guaranteed way that people have accustomed to believe, this includes even well established stocks (you can comb through the history of the thread to find many examples that I have illustrated to prove the point) (2) Denial and Procrastination is our worst enemies in trading/investing.

We all love to make money, myself included. But most market participants have lost money the past 2 years despite Wall St hitting all time highs, and could poise to lose even more when adversity shows up in an ugly way when exuberance breaks down into a selling frenzy.

I hope you take the utmost care and stay safe. Losing money in stocks is not cool when cost of living is already high and only getting worse. I can hear murmurs that all the more reason we need to make in stocks to offset the high cost of living. Yes, but if it was that simple. Only perhaps 5-10% of market participants trade well consistently selecting the right stock to buy and sell at the right time. Many could be right and on the right path for some time but complacency will in the end get the best of us. Many would have made but end up losing them back and perhaps more.

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I greatly appreciate it and I tend to predict events too early.
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