Its Over, page-207

If you have to buy stocks in the BEMs (Building Energy Management) solution space- stocks that provide solutions or platforms (analytics, optimisation etc) to reduce the energy bill - you'd be spoilt for choice as they are 6 listed on ASX . The BEMs market is crowded and littered with such competitive platform offerings not just locally but globally and you also have the big boys in the global market as well.

	Column 1	Column 2	Column 3	Column 4	Column 5	Column 6	Column 7	Column 8	Column 9
0	Stock Code	Stock	Price	Share Base (mil)	Mcap (mil)	Annualised Revenues*	Mcap/Rev (times)	Gain/Loss% over 12 months	Drop from All Time High
1	BUD[/B]	Buddy Platform	$ 0.085	1,149.05	$ 97.67	$ 3.04	32.09	-60.5%	-79.8%
2	BID	Bid Energy	$ 0.140	850.00	$ 119.00	$ 4.60	25.87	508.7%	N/A
3	SIS	Simble Solutions	$ 0.165	129.92	$ 21.44	$ 2.80	7.66	-36.5%	-36.5%
4	VIV	Vivid Technology	$ 0.047	524.22	$ 24.64	$ 9.30	2.65	6.8%	-75.3%
5	BIQ	Building IQ	$ 0.064	251.54	$ 16.10	$ 7.48	2.15	-27.3%	-92.0%
6	EOL	Energy One	$ 0.840	21.18	$ 17.79	$ 10.04	1.77	78.7%	-9.7%
7	Share Base on fully diluted basis (including Options, Performance shares, rights)
8	* Annualised Revenue computed as 4 x Latest 4C Quarterly Receipts or Annual Report or as declared in 4C

As can be seen on the compiled Table above, in terms of price action, BID and EOL have been doing well, although BID has already been a 5 bagger and moving into overstretched zone, while EOL is probably the best in terms of both TA and FA.

Despite the recent decline, BUD is still IMO overvalued via a vis its peers at 32x revenues and poor technical outlook (an oversold rebound could happen next Thurs webinar but only be sold down again as investors are increasingly circumspect about the company's prior statements and guidance ). After BIG/GSW/BUD, investors should be wary about darling stocks that make lots of hype announcements - they all come to bite down the road. And as we learnt, hope is not a strategy. EOL is now slightly profitable with just a fifth of BUD's valuation but has 3 times BUD's revenues and growing very strongly.

I have VIV in my Its Over covered stock but the concern around it is that it is running out of cash. But for the technology it has, I reckon $25m is good value. That said, undervaluation does not mean it can go up a lot in the short term and you know where my views are on the global markets within the next 2 years.