* First, overnight Reddit shares surged to close +30% higher,...

* First, overnight Reddit shares surged to close +30% higher, signaling that speculation remains rife and we are probably closer to the final innings of this Melt-Up
* This despite all major indices falling together, which has been rare recently; Dow off -162pts, S&P500 -0.31% to 5,218, Nasdaq -0.27%
* NVIDIA continued higher to $950 +0.76% (I did say that when NVIDIA hits $1k, maybe the correction will arrive), but Intel -1.74%, SMCI +7.2% on analyst upgrades
* MicroStrategy soared +21.86% as BTC breaks $70k to close +7.13% at $70,872
* Gold up +$7 to $2172, GDX and GDXJ firmer by +0.84% and +1.11% respectively
* DXY stood at 104.23 while US 10yr yield at 4.25pc
* WTI Crude +1.42% to $81.77 , oil stocks broadly higher XLE +0.9%
* Tesla gained +1.05% on the day but lithium stocks were broadly lower, LIT -1.11%, ALB -2.09%, SQM -3.34%, LAC -1.15%, PLL -1.05%, Patriot Battery -1.08%, LIS -3.23%

Most investors fall into one of two categories: Too young to remember or too old to remember.
https://x.com/SuburbanDrone/status/1772320036260135312?s=20

This is how the oscillator looked at the last two rollovers. A significant divergence in breadth at the peak.

https://x.com/SuburbanDrone/status/1772317552129057270?s=20

Within the US, every major index ETF across market caps began this week in overbought territory:
https://x.com/bespokeinvest/status/1772257562760458587?s=20

A quiet day with some uglier than expected housing data (new home sales miss) and manufacturing (Dallas Fed survey sunk) left bond yields and black gold higher, but bitcoin stole the headlines.
The bad data prompted a dovish drift in rate-cut expectations...

The dovish drift sent the dollar lower...

Source: Bloomberg
And pushed gold marginally higher...

Source: Bloomberg
Bitcoin surged back above $70,000 on heavy ETF volume...

Source: Bloomberg
And we suspect the ebbing of last week's net ETF outflows switched back into inflows today...

Source: Bloomberg
Ethereum also ripped higher, back above $3600...

Source: Bloomberg
Bond yields were higher across the curve with the longer-end marginally underperforming. Selling was pretty much non-stop with a small bid into the US equity cash open and into the 2Y auction..

Source: Bloomberg
Oil prices surged as investors monitored escalating geopolitical tensions in the Middle East and Russia's war in Ukraine, while output cuts by Moscow to meet OPEC+ targets and a decline in the U.S. rig count raised concerns over a potential tightening of crude supply.

Source: Bloomberg
Small Caps outperformed on the day while The Dow lagged. The last hour saw selling pressure resume, erasing most of Small Caps' gains...

Small Caps were rocketed higher at the cash open by a mega squeeze but 'most shorted' stocks faded to almost unchanged by the close...

Source: Bloomberg
The Energy sector outperformed while Industrials and Tech lagged.
Boeing bounced higher on news that Calhoun was leaving, but that exuberance faded fast...

Mag7 stocks opened ugly, but the algos were not going to stand for that and lifted the basket to unchanged before fading late on...

Source: Bloomberg
NVDA rallied (again) but failed to take out the early March highs...

Source: Bloomberg
Finally, this is the most concentrated market ever...

Source: Bloomberg
...which is fine, right?