Gold alone at the topGold, the only asset class with a Sharpe of >2 YTD. NASDAQ? A paltry 0.4 and does not even make it to the list. However, current gold rally barely registers when compared to the largest degree of spot up/vol up moves in gold historically. The long gold trade still has a lot of positive structural things going for it. GS
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Gold - what if?UBS playing with numbers: "...if all central banks especially in emerging markets had a minimum of 10% of their reserves in gold (compared to the Fed and the Euro area who have 76% and 57% of their reserves in gold respectively), the increase in gold demand would be 75% of global supply".
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Structural Gold supportCentral bank diversification. We can see that central bank buying of gold has accelerated since 2022. UBS
Gold positioningGold CFTC net buy side positioning has shot up, but we are still not at all time highs. UBS
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Xi's gold long......is very long and looking strong. TS Lombard on why China is loading up on gold: 1. A strong political imperative to build financial self-reliance, which in practice means conversion of USD and EUR assets into gold (among other investments). 2. Bottom-up desire by Chinese households to find a store of value away from real estate, equities and other RMB denominated assets. TS Lombard
Got GDX?Gold stocks have abnormally lagged the gold price -normally gold stocks have a beta of 2X to the gold price. This implies gold miners could be up 45% from current prices (UBS). Refinitiv
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Gold volatilityGold trades with an "upside skew", i.e gold up means gold volatility moves higher. We have the GVZ move higher lately, but looking at the GLD call/put open interest, we see there is little excitement, still... Refinitiv UBS
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Physical is physicalInteresting to see the crowd chasing gold while "abandoning" BTC. JPM