Based on history, every time we have an inverted yield curve...

Based on history, every time we have an inverted yield curve paired with a flattening Fed funds rate, the economy is heading into a recession. This time is not different.

https://x.com/kurtsaltrichter/status/1770812986510205326


...one needs to assess/judge for oneself if US is heading for a recession ahead.

...if one believes the chances are high and it turns out to be the case, staying the course could be a bit like deciding not to leave when the rumbles are felt, continue to remain when earthquake strikes and thereafter the giant tsunami.

...having the courage (which is more like courage of defiance) and being apathetic in the wake of rising risks could subject one to a possible eventual knock-out blow, better to survive to fight another day. By the time adversity reaches consensus, one becomes the one of many trying to leave the room at the same time when the lights have been switched off, easy to get trampled over and hurt. The one who pre-empts and makes the early exit is able to do so with ease and unscathed.

..if you don't manage Risk, Risk will manage you.

..not intended to spook anyone, but risk management is key to survive in an investing world. It is not as easy as we were told. Hope is not a strategy.
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