....if you exercise caution, you won't gain but you won't lose - "Winning Is Not Losing"
....but if you don't, you could a) gain and lose it back and more OR b) lose and lose more - because most would take short term positive vibes for granted - you are too afraid to take profits when prices start moving higher or too afraid to take a small loss hoping to fully recover (but instead of taking a small loss from an earlier bigger loss, wait and end up having a bigger loss than is going to take a long time to recover, if any).
Oh but .... "Liquidity will create the bounce. Fed has our back"
Why did we get the Financial Crisis in 2007-09 - when Liquidity was moving up fast before Recession began in December 2007?
Because the CONSUMER was struggling as interest rates moved up. This caused unemployment to rise - and the Recession was a fact DESPITE FED cutting Rates and Liquidity exploding higher.
It is about the REAL ECONOMY = the Consumer.
The Consumer is focused on a) Housing b) Labor Market.
https://x.com/HenrikZeberg/status/1817131862717837768
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