"Commodities only asset class (outside SOFR Secured Overnight Funding Rate market discounting 240bps Fed cuts next 12 months) priced for hard landing" - Michael Hartnett
Commodities are pricing in the hardest landing this century: oil sentiment is worse than at the peak of the global financial crisis, Europe's sovereign debt crisis and the global covid lockdowns.
https://x.com/zerohedge/status/1834674453982142830
..but Ed Yardeni reckons commodities woes are attributable to China's struggling economy.
..which data proved to be so
- House prices yoy down -5.3%
-Industrial production yoy 4.5% vs 4.7% est
- Chinese unemployment rate 5.3% vs 5.2% est
- Retail sales yoy 2.1% vs 2.5% est
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