Is Gold Ripe?
The answer IMO is Not Yet
1. AUD Gold is still trending south since 4 Feb
2. Gold has yet to capitalise on BTC's short term misfortune- BTC shed almost 5% since 17 Feb but Gold only rose 0.8%
3. Gold unable to capitalise on DXY weakness, with DXY at same level on 16 Dec, Gold is now doing just $1807 against the $1869 it was trading then
4. Gold/GDX ratio showing initial sign of turning around, which means gold stocks are increasingly underperforming relative to Gold
Gold needs to stay above $1800 to continue a sideways consolidation but it would need a rise above $1865 IMO to be seriously considering a breaking to the upside. And it needs to do that without the DXY dropping to yield a higher AUD gold for Aussie gold stocks to rally sustainably.
Column 1 Column 2 Column 3 Column 4 Column 5 Column 6 Column 7 Column 8 0 16 December 11 January 27 January 4 Feb 21 5 Feb 21 17 Feb 21 23 Feb 21 1 GOLD (USD) $ 1,869 $ 1,849 $ 1,842 $ 1,835 $ 1,795 $ 1,792 $ 1,807 2 GOLD (AUD) $ 2,462 $ 2,399 $ 2,387 $ 2,403 $ 2,362 $ 2,312 $ 2,289 3 DXY (USD INDEX) 90.18 90.32 90.36 91.08 91.53 90.65 90.18 4 BITCOIN (BTC) (USD) $ 21,354 $ 35,369 $ 31,561 $ 37,558 $ 37,480 $ 49,943 $ 47,532 5 BITCOIN (BTC) (AUD) $ 28,115 $ 46,122 $ 41,083 $ 49,233 $ 48,193 $ 64,533 $ 60,031 6 GDX $ 36.01 $ 36.52 $ 35.09 $ 34.60 $ 33.79 $ 34.13 $ 34.21 7 BTC/GOLD (USD) 11.43 19.13 17.13 20.47 20.88 27.87 26.31 8 BTC/GOLD (AUD) 11.42 19.23 17.21 20.49 20.40 27.91 26.23 9 GOLD/GDX 51.90 50.63 52.49 53.03 53.12 52.51 52.81 10 30/11 to 16/12 16/12 to 11/1 11/1 to 27/1 27/1 to 4/2 4/2 to 5/2 5/2 to 17/2 17/2 to 23/2 11 GOLD (USD) 5.4% -1.1% -0.4% -0.4% -2.2% -0.2% 0.8% 12 GOLD (AUD) 2.8% -2.6% -0.5% 0.7% -1.7% -2.1% -1.0% 13 BITCOIN (BTC) (USD) 15.3% 65.6% -10.8% 19.0% -0.2% 33.3% -4.8% 14 BITCOIN (BTC) (AUD) 11.0% 64.0% -10.9% 19.8% -2.1% 33.9% -7.0% 15 GOLD/GDX 0.1% -2.5% 3.7% 1.0% 0.2% -1.2% 0.6%
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