Yes this is correct!
Interestingly if you take the CoS of all 7 horizons at 14% (easier to have them all the same) this also gives 65%
(1 - .86*.86*.86*.86*.86*.86*.86)
If you use the table below the probability increases to 85%:
Of course this is all somewhat flawed as in reality these aren't truly independent events, for example if we hit on the first 3 its likely there will be more further down and if the first 3 come up blank it wont necessarily be a good sign for whats to come
Yes this is correct!Interestingly if you take the CoS of all 7...
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