Just how the polls got it so wrong, page-17

  1. sparassid
    9,853 Posts.
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    10/11/16
    20:22
    Post #: 20530232
    The Australian is selling a garbage narrative as usual. Here is some actual analysis:

    https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/what-a-difference-2-percentage-points-makes/

    https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/the-polls-missed-trump-we-asked-pollsters-why/


    I.E. - the polls were off by their usual amount in the US, no more, no less. They were off because they under-polled working-class white voters in the rust-belt states.
    Last edited by sparassid: 10/11/16
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