AGO 0.00% 4.5¢ atlas iron limited

Just say Iron Ore and currency prices do not move or average...

  1. 169 Posts.
    Just say Iron Ore and currency prices do not move or average today's spot prices for the next 5 years.

    What would AGO's Net Debt look like in 5 years time?

    Assumptions...
    Production Rate 12Mt a year
    All in costs = $70/t (excluding stripping)

    Capex FY15 = 122m and then $60m (ie $5/t for stripping) for each of the next 4 years.

    Dividend = 0.03 for each each year. Yield = 4.5%

    FY19 Net Cash = $63m

    It would be $100m higher if no interest was paid on unused but drawn down debt.

    ***

    Now a 5 cent fall in the audusd to 0.8750 changes this to...

    FY19 Net Cash = $258m

    It again would be $100m higher if no interest was paid on used but drawn down debt.

    ***

    Now a $US5 rise in the Iron Ore price to $US97.50 (audusd 0.925) changes this to...

    FY19 Net Cash = $268m

    It again would be $100m higher if no interest was paid on used but drawn down debt.






 
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