FAR

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I do agree with you Bullant but management have stated it's a...

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Mr.Hustler

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20/05/16

09:55

Post #: 17820716
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Originally posted by Bullant ↑

The success of the last appraisal well steps out the resource 5km to the north east. Expect a significant increase in resource.

Current resource is 2c @ 561m = FAR 15% = 84m barrels of oil

FAR market cap is $260m USD and if we strip out cash EV is $200m USD

84m barrels = $3 USD per barrel

FAR stated that sometime during 3/4 this year they should declare the field commercial. This significantly changes its worth as 1) its bankable 2) big oil companies have a very different internal approach to commercial oil fields v exploration. As we know all exploration budgets are cut with current POO. We hear Conoco Philips is fast tracking the appraisal wells to get the field commercial so they can move the Senegal asset from exploration into commercial. Conoco Philips are selling all of their offshore exploration assets to keep shareholders happy.....hence why they want to move it fast.

Commercial oil in the ground is worth $10, even in the current environment. As this field is low capex and low quartile for lift cost. They are thinking lift cost for Senegal is approx. low $30s & this means spot oil right now makes good $$$$

Current resource FAR is worth 3x more. As market cap price right now is $3 per barrel and commercial oil is around $10. Remember this does not include any worth to when the size of the resource is upgraded or any other of FARs assets.

If POO holds in or even goes higher, FAR becomes a serious target considering the AUD market cap / price per barrel in the ground. The fun and games I predict will start to happen after the field is deemed commercial. And hopefully that is sometime 3/4.

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I do agree with you Bullant but management have stated it's a difficult ask for the SP to exceed 12-15 cents in 3 years.

Now the only way I can see that as being accurate is for them to sell SNE and return capital to the shareholders.....

What will they say if we get to 12 cents in short order? Gee. we were surprised by our good fortune?

Nobody is about to complain if it does though!

FAR Price at posting: 8.5¢ Sentiment: Buy Disclosure: Held
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Last 50.5¢		Change 0.000(0.00%)		Mkt cap ! $46.66M

Open	High	Low	Value	Volume
50.5¢	50.5¢	50.5¢	$14.48K	28.69K

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No.	Vol.	Price($)
2	5356	50.5¢

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Price($)	Vol.	No.
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No.	Vol.	Price($)
2	5356	0.505
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2	28930	0.480
2	70000	0.475

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0.510	59999	2
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