but as very recent history has shown - 2 things are crystal
1. that large political events that sway things - can happen in microseconds and there's a whole lot of microseconds left in the race - about 4 months worth
2. that there is such a thing as political momentum - same as there is in sport with teams or individuals having momentum to reach their peak ------- then what?
The momentum has been crystal clear for Trump in the last weeks - SCOTUS wins, my bleeding ear sympathy, case dismissals -
Trump is on a roll - no question there. But, will he peak? Will he peak too early?
and if he peaks - what happens then??
what happens if the Democrats make changes - and get some momentum - and then their peak is at the election and Trump is in decline??
Whilst I fully agree that Trump looks like a winner atm --------- the race is NOT a foregone conclusion and the race still has a long way to go.
ATM, the betting markets suggest that Trump would beat Biden - fairly comfortably
but, the markets certainly do not suggest a runaway favourite situation for which 'party' will win -------- meaning that if the runners are different - so too is the potential for the race to the line
