Kamala opens by kicking Trumps ass, page-385

First 385 Last

Share
Profile

Follow
PokerMoe

14,259 Posts.

408

25/07/24

11:10

Post #: 74910177
Share
Originally posted by tangs ↑

Poll watchers are focusing on three key groups as they scramble to figure out how Vice President Kamala Harris is shaking up the race: young voters, Hispanics and Black men.
Why it matters: All groups matter in presidential politics, but some matter more than others.

After an insane few weeks in politics, the pros will wait for polls with large cross-sections of specific groups before moving advertising dollars around.

Driving the news: Republicans are bracing for a little Harris bump, or a "Honeymoon," as former President Trump's pollster Tony Fabrizio wrote Tuesday.

His prediction proved prescient: Reuters/Ipsos gave Harris a 2-point lead: 44%–42%.

Yahoo showed the head-to-head race tied: 46%–46%.

Meanwhile, NPR/Marist had Trump up by 1 point: 46% to 45%.

What we're watching: Pre-Biden exit, both Democrats and Republicans had certain historically unusually — and slightly puzzling — advantages.

Biden was actually up among the crucial 60-and-up crowd, reversing a trend of the last five cycles. They matter for one simple reason: They vote.

Privately, some Biden officials weren't convinced that older voters would stick with the younger Harris. They are about to find out.

Between the lines: Biden's theory of the case had been that young voters, who were flirting with Trump, would come home on Election Day.

In 2020, Biden won voters under the age of 30 by 24 points, according to Pew Research's comprehensive analysis of the election.

But Harvard's comprehensive young voter survey (released in April) had Biden up a mere 8 points. A New York Times/Siena College survey earlier this month found Trump was down by 3 points among likely voters aged 18–29.

Those numbers are potentially deeply concerning for Democrats. But both parties think the youth vote is best described as fickle at this point in the race

The other side: Republicans are wondering if Trump's apparent inroads with Black and Hispanic voters — especially males — will endure in a face-to-face match-up with Harris.
https://www.axios.com/2024/07/24/trump-harris-polls-2024-election

I think we can both agree there is a lot to happen before Novemeber .

Expand

I think we can both agree the polls by media are inconsistent to reality at best.

Seems as the only source of reality that can be trusted is “X”. Afterall, it was good enough a platform for Biden to tell the world he’s stepping down.

Hmm, let’s check the X reality then:

Oops
7 Upvote

Reply

Top Stories

EMR

Emerald expands underground resource by 105Koz at Cambodian gold mine Okvau

I88

Infini rolls on with soil sampling at Portland Creek not long after making possible 'uranium history'

HYT

Twiggy Forrest to acquire 40% of native hydrogen explorer – not long after putting Fortescue Future Industries to sleep

EBR

EBR reaches review milestone for wireless cardiac pacing device

TLG

Talga expands Prospectus Offer to $9M, banks $18.5M overall since end of financial year

There are more pages in this discussion • 1,056 more messages in this thread...

First 385 Last

Kamala opens by kicking Trumps ass, page-385

Emerald expands underground resource by 105Koz at Cambodian gold mine Okvau

Infini rolls on with soil sampling at Portland Creek not long after making possible 'uranium history'

Twiggy Forrest to acquire 40% of native hydrogen explorer – not long after putting Fortescue Future Industries to sleep

EBR reaches review milestone for wireless cardiac pacing device

Talga expands Prospectus Offer to $9M, banks $18.5M overall since end of financial year

Featured News

Featured News

Kamala opens by kicking Trumps ass, page-385

Top Stories

Emerald expands underground resource by 105Koz at Cambodian gold mine Okvau

Infini rolls on with soil sampling at Portland Creek not long after making possible 'uranium history'

Twiggy Forrest to acquire 40% of native hydrogen explorer – not long after putting Fortescue Future Industries to sleep

EBR reaches review milestone for wireless cardiac pacing device

Talga expands Prospectus Offer to $9M, banks $18.5M overall since end of financial year

Featured News

Featured News