Riverred
I imagine CL is taking a bit of heat at the moment. If indeed they were going to make $22.5 NPBT next half i'm sure he would have been shouting it from the rooftops. Share price would have surely risen. From a loss of $1m to a profit of $22m from one half to the next?
Also I think your calculations exclude the massive effect that the strong Aussie dollar is having. Having a real negative effect on companies with US$ earnings.