KGN 2.80% $4.40 kogan.com ltd

Basically just massive growth in the future, actually growing...

  1. 59 Posts.
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    Basically just massive growth in the future, actually growing market share in online retail

    Also:
    Ruslan Kogan - founder CEO - owns a fair amount of the company
    Positioned well as low cost retailer.
    Profitable every year
    Hated by the boomer dividend clientele
    Kogan First is going to be great for network effects
    I love that they got all that inventory in case they needed it, don't give a rats in didn't turn out perfectly. size of profit in the short term is completely irrelevant for this company, only growth matters. Perfect for forcing out the plebs too so I could buy at these ridiculous prices.
    I expect many crashes along the way, but long term it's just free money.
    Not that it's it's worth anything but using the most bearish numbers I can personally imagine (Yearly growth of 5% and terminal growth after 5 years of 3%) and cost of capital of 7%. I get a $10.00 value per share with DCF and Discounted residual income model. Bullish scenario is basically the moon.

    Risks: Ruslan leaves, war with china, I'm wrong, something unforeseen.
 
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