NTC netcomm wireless limited

PeckerLet's not argue??? Shall we just believe your posts which...

  1. 615 Posts.
    Pecker

    Let's not argue??? Shall we just believe your posts which are based on pure opinion? Hmm, I somehow doubt that makes any sense.

    Do you think that every new Vodafone M2M contract will use MachineLink? If you do believe that, you are mistaken. Kone need a M2M cellular module to make that elevator communicate over Vodafone's network. They may have elected to use MachineLink or they may just incorporate a M2M module into their elevators.

    I wanted to revisit my comment about the certification comment I made in my last post. Kone may not have to certify their communication equipment on the Vodafone network if they use a M2M cellular module that is already certified on Vodafone's network.

    As for your opinion that NTC is cheap you may want to consider the following:

    1) NTC will probably post a net profit for FY13/14 of approximately AUD$2M. Given the current market cap of AUD$60M, an approximate PE ratio of 30 may be considered quite high and it is difficult to call NTC cheap using this metric.

    2) If you wish to look towards FY14/15, NTC need to find another AUD$12.5M in revenue that was contributed by the Ericsson smart metering contract in the FY13/14. Where is this additional revenue going to come from? The NBN, another smart meter contract or a significant M2M contract?

    3) The NBN Co weekly fixed wireless figures are showing some slowdown in the past 4 weeks. If this persists or if the figures do not improve NTC will not be able to rely on the NBN contract to boost its FY14/15 financial figures.

    I am a believer in the NTC story but wild success is not guaranteed. I suggest you also look into M2M module manufacturers if you are a believer in the future of M2M. The type of products that NTC sell currently constitute a small proportion of the M2M connections and I don't see this percentage changing in the future.

 
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