^ that's far from a 'novice' analysis.
What you've described is the classic pump & dump, the early accumulation, low volume break out because it was carefully selected based on how tightly held it is.
B to C = smart money liquidating majority of their positions into the hype, C the top, big volume sell off. Strong indicator to get out.
E to G Retail realising slowly that this isn't going to $1.
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