Dan has the resources of the state behind him, plus the ALP resources which are much larger than the LNP. He should win on that alone. The sheer amount of "Victoria Gov" ads recently just informing people about all the great stuff is off the charts. The LNP don't have that advantage. The consensus righting off the LNP has really damaged the two party stystem. Not healthy. The LNP will have a lot of work to do post election.
