To return to Reaper's central argument, State/Fed - Lib/ALP have...

To return to Reaper's central argument, State/Fed - Lib/ALP have flipped in the last decade. The honeymoons are over at State level; tensions (helped by the good old "sell a paper at any price" print media) against the incumbent Liberal State govts in on the rise. By the time the next Fed election comes along, the average Joe will be swayed into the counter-balance argument and the ALP will be retained.

Betting developments since the weekend:

ALP from 3.75 everywhere into 3.10 Sportingbet, 3.16 Centrebet and the 3.50 Sportsbet is still great value.

Julia to be leader at next election is 2.6 best price 2 months ago into 2.0 everywhere.

Malcolm has come in from 5.0 (to be leader at next election) to be 4.5 best price Sportsbet.

If you don't have a Sportbet account open one for a hundred and they'll give you a hundred dollar free bet gratis.

Shove $100 on the ALP to win, put the $100 freebie on Malcolm to be leader at next election & sit back and watch the odds shorten.

The longer Tony stays there the better your lazy $100 investment will look. Easy money. (but I bet both prices will be gone by the weekend)