Not Surprised, thou interesting greens are polling at all time high
In early September L-NP support is virtually unchanged at 45% (down 0.5%) cf. ALP 55% (up 0.5%) following last week’s poor Australian GDP result (only 0.2% growth in the June Quarter 2015), and falls in the Aussie Dollar (below 70 US cents) and Australian share-markets (down 4%). If a Federal Election were held now the ALP would win easily.
Primary support for the L-NP has decreased to 36.5% (down 2%) while ALP support is down 0.5% to 35.5%.
Support for the Greens has risen to a new record high of 16.5% (up 2.5%), Palmer United Party is 1% (down 0.5%), Katter’s Australian Party 1.5% (unchanged), while Independents/ Others are at 9% (up 0.5%).
This week’s Morgan Poll on Federal voting intention was conducted over the last two weekends, August 29/30 & September 5/6, 2015, with an Australia-wide cross-section of 2,653 Australian electors.
Roy Morgan Government Confidence Rating
The Roy Morgan Government Confidence Rating has fallen 5.5pts to 90pts this week with 46.5% (up 2%) of Australians saying Australia is ‘heading in the wrong direction’ and only 36.5% (down 3.5%) saying Australia is ‘heading in the right direction’.
Analysis by Gender
Analysis by Gender shows a majority of both genders supporting the ALP. Women: ALP 56.5% (up 1.5%) cf. L-NP 43.5% (down 1.5%); Men: ALP 53.5% (unchanged) cf. L-NP 46.5% (unchanged).
Analysis by Age group
Analysis by Age group shows the ALP still with its strongest advantage among young family aged Australians (aged 25-34). 18-24yr olds favour the ALP 56.5% cf. L-NP 43.5%; 25-34yr olds most heavily favour the ALP 66% cf. L-NP 34%; 35-49yr olds favour the ALP 57% cf. L-NP 43% while 50-64yr olds favour the ALP 54.5% cf. L-NP 45.5% and those aged 65+ easily favour the L-NP 55.5% cf. ALP 44.5%.
Analysis by States
The ALP now has a two-party preferred lead in all Australian States. Tasmania: ALP 61.5% cf. L-NP 38.5%, Victoria: ALP 59% cf. L-NP 41%, South Australia: ALP 57.5% cf. L-NP 42.5%, New South Wales: ALP 53% cf. L-NP 47%, Queensland: ALP 52% cf. LNP 48% and Western Australia: ALP 51% cf. L-NP 49%.
The Morgan Poll surveys a larger sample (including people who only use a mobile phone) than any other public opinion poll.
The Morgan Poll asks Minor Party supporters which way they will vote their preferences. *News Corp’s poll does not measure or reference the PUP vote!
The Morgan Poll allocated preferences based on how people say they will vote – allocating preferences by how electors voted at the last Federal Election, as used by News Corp’s poll* shows the ALP (55.5%) cf. L-NP (44.5%) – for trends see the Morgan Poll historic data table.
http://www.roymorgan.com/findings/6...oting-intention-september-7-2015-201509070607
