latest poll 2pp libs 89 versus lab 59

the latest news saying labor has increased its popularity in the polls is great news for the laborites
but they are only back where they started from at the beginning of the year

*** they will still lose big time
an overwhelming victory awaits the coalition
the poll was conducted by news corp, and there is a story about it in the australian today....

radio 2gb interviewed Professor David Flint early today, and it is his figures used in this post
I cannot find a copy at this early stage, but I am sure it will be reported today, and then I can offer proof

apparently the labs are rating far better in Vic, hence that is why they are moving headquarters there for the federal non election campaign
the labs have given up on NSW

extract.........

AFTER a kick in the pants from the last fortnightly Newspoll survey for the year - the primary vote for the Gillard government dropped to 32 per cent - the latest quarterly state-by-state breakdown and demographic analysis is just what Labor wanted.

Overall, the primary vote is up - from 33 to 35 per cent - and Julia Gillard's satisfaction with voters and preferred prime minister status is up - especially in Queensland.

In a December quarter that included the Prime Minister's misogyny speech, directed at Tony Abbott but defending ex-Speaker Peter Slipper, Gillard's support rose among women - by seven percentage points - the young and even her toughest audience, the over 50s.

What's more, Gillard recovered ground in the key state of Queensland where the ghost of Kevin Rudd haunts her.

Across the board Gillard's support and Labor's vote rose remarkably - between eight and 10 points - and Coalition and Greens support either fell or just held the line.
NEWSPOLL: State and demographic breakdown


The whole flavour of the demographic and state-by-state polling, based on three months of Newspoll surveys between October and December, fits the Labor "narrative" of rising support as we enter the 2013 election year, where Labor is desperate to be seen as "competitive".

While the final two-week survey put paid to the idea of a steady or rising primary support for the ALP, the three-month survey reflects a trend of recovery for Labor and Gillard.

This is good for Labor.

But there is a harsh reality in that Labor has essentially ended the year where it began on the primary vote and on a two-party-preferred basis, and the "recovery" just means Labor has improved from some record lows.
www.theaustralian.com.au
opinion
recovery bounce is far from victory