Oh sorry nippy, I had better things to do than play on hotcopper...

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    Oh sorry nippy, I had better things to do than play on hotcopper yesterday afternoon.

    I see louis has been trying to educate you, given up and just descended into outright mockery.

    I probably should follow my own advice, but since you really seem to want me to respond, I'll try to explain it one more time.

    It's a conditional probability.

    IF out of all the men who have reason enough to distrust their partner and go to the trouble/expense of a paternity test ONLY 30% are shown to be not the father, THEN that implies women in general are significantly MORE trustworthy than men in general think they are.

    Which is the exact opposite of what you are trying to claim that data means.

    It's time to admit that you are just terrible at probability and statistics.

    You shouldn't feel bad about this, without proper training, most humans are. It's why I repeatedly see online conspiracy grifters craft messages based on the same logical fallacies. Over and over again.

    And why the same people fall for those fallacies. Over and over again.

    It's tiresome.

    You've earnt yourself some Radiohead. This is from a song called "Just":

    "
    You do it to yourself, you do
    And that's why it really hurts
    Is that you do it to yourself, just you
    You and no one else
    You do it to yourself
    You do it to yourself
    "
 
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